October 6, 2009

The Greek Elections

The Greek Socialists (PASOK) won almost 44% of the vote last Sunday, beating out the right by almost 10% of the votes cast. The Communist Party (KKE) and the Coalition of the Radical Left (SYRIZA) picked up 20% and 12% of the vote respectively. Center and left forces, therefore, won something just over 54% of the vote. The Greek left probably did better than expected given the relatively poor showing they made in the recent European Union elections. The Greek left hardly registered a gain in the EU elections since 2004. To be fair, there was a high abstention rate in the EU elections, and particularly so among young people.

Expectations for SYRIZA have been set artificially high, I think. It was not unreasonable to think at one point that that party might have won something close to 15% of the vote. SYRIZA won 12 seats in parliament, but it's clear that they also have disappointed their base among the youth by moving towards the political center. The rebellion in Greece last December won wide support from young people and the working class, but SYRIZA could not build on that or maintain the momentum of the rebellion. Perhaps no political party could accomplish that.

Many people on the left believe that the traditional left and social democratic parties have a resilience and consistency which the new left parties and alliances lack, or have not yet achieved. They can maneuver, sometimes quite opportunistically or pragmatically or in step with the unions and mass organizations, without appearing to zigzag. They are reliable coalition partners and are positioned to take advantage of the current capitalist crisis. I share this view.

After the recent German elections, which saw the center take a big hit, the standard bearers of American capitalism lined up to congratulate the German right and articulate their anti-worker, anti-immigrant, anti-state and anti-environmental policies. There has been no such trumpeting in the wake of the Greek elections, despite PASOK's weak record on key issues and the political corruption which afflicts it and the Greek center-right. Indeed, the capitalist press is predicting--and hoping--that PASOK will falter when it has to face reducing Greece's budget deficit and national debt. They hope that at that point a resurgent right will take power. We hope that the KKE and SYRIZA will advance in ways which compliment one another and create broad-left unity.

The capitalists should be careful. A future victory of any kind for the far-right Popular Orthodox Rally (LAOS) will set back the EU and heighten regional tensions. LAOS picked up 15 seats in parliament in last Sunday's elections. It advances at a cost to the New Democracy party now, which won 93 seats in parliament, but any future gains it makes will come at the expense o the working class, young people and immigrants. Holding the center-right and right where they are now and pushing back against them are the key steps that must be taken now.

3 comments:

HallView said...

good news. i saw this on reuters the other day. though, they seemed to think if the left didn't "fix the economy"... whatever that means, that the voters would just flop back to the right. are they that fickle? or is this a real sign of a leftward trend?

Charles Wynns said...

Good question Hallview.

Jeez, where things are going is up in the air if you ask me. It seems we are in a period of ideological confusion??

And of course the Greek left will fail... The US and European mainline media will always declare that leftist approaches don't work. Just like we have economic recovery taking root even though every month another quarter million are out of work and are likely to be out of work for years to come.

ethnicguy said...

I'm hopeful! The deficit and the budget can either be balanced by cutbacks in services, privatization and taxes which penalize the workers and the poor or it can be balanced by forcing the wealthy to step up and pay more and public works projects. In Greece, as in much of the world, this is intimately linked to problems of political corruption. If PASOK can't unite with the left or take a leading role in taxing the wealthy and doing public works projects, it can at least expose and abolish the most obvious forms of patronage and corruption and stp further privatizaqtion--which I believe that it intends to do and wants to do now, if only for opportunistic reasons. The strong left presence in parliament and the rebellions last winter means that there are two immediate avenues open for judging PASOK's performance. It's not that voters are "fickle" but that in a system of proportional representation outcomes are decided by voters and by abstention from voting (which is why abstention here doesn't work and why it sometimes has an activist component there)and by sectors voting as blocs. The Greek far-right will make demands, but whatever power it has will come from its ability to resist and slow down change. In Germany, on the other hand, the news this week is that the new government is already dividing over promises made to unions and on civil liberties questions; the right wing in power in Germany is stumbling already in its alliances. If the German social democrats are smart and capable, they will step into the opening and drive a wedge between the right forces. The Greek socialists could take a lesson here and form a firm alliance with the left after taking power and based on a few key values or principles, one of which needs to be stopping the right. This can happen!